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Morch Madness

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Everything posted by Morch Madness

  1. Morch Madness

    Potential Major East Coast Storm on Saturday Part 2

    Let's not forget that we have 5 or 6 more model runs until gametime. Plenty of time for a better trend on American models.
  2. Morch Madness

    Possible Weekend Snowstorm, Jan 24 2015

    Trough axis is further west, more negatively titled this run. Surface sucks, but when you factor in upper levels, clearly an improved run.
  3. Morch Madness

    Model Discussion for Late January into February

    Where do you guys get the Canadian so fast?
  4. Morch Madness

    Potential Coastal Storm This Weekend

    Storm 2 looks like a slow-mover to me
  5. Morch Madness

    Model Discussion for Late January into February

    This is going to be an all-time weenie run for SNE
  6. Morch Madness

    Model Discussion for Late January into February

    What a monster
  7. Morch Madness

    Potential Coastal Storm This Weekend

    Ruling out a storm when all global models show a deepening low off OBX 120 hours out is downright foolish IMO. Canadian and Euro will be interesting.
  8. Morch Madness

    Potential Coastal Storm This Weekend

    GFS is a touch north of 18z, and notably north of 12z. Threat is certainly not dead, though the setup at 500 mb is pretty underwhelming.
  9. Morch Madness

    Potential Coastal Storm This Weekend

    Look with caution http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/metoc/nogaps/gif_files/no_amer_slp_wind_132.gif
  10. Morch Madness

    E PA/NJ/DE/Okle: Banter/Non Storm OBS thread

    Wow that is a nice looking system this weekend on the Canadian, albeit wide right. 984 mb low just off OBX
  11. Morch Madness

    Medium/Long Range thread

    Right on schedule, the GFS shows a very favorable storm signal in D8-9 range
  12. Morch Madness

    Medium/Long Range thread

    Good news - I'll be in Colorado from 12/28 to 1/4 so feet and feet of snow are likely
  13. Morch Madness

    Potential coastal 12/8-10/2014

    Canadian is quite a storm, ends up showing 2-4" for everybody. 2-4" of rain that is...
  14. Morch Madness

    Medium/Long Range thread

    Well, considering past winter forecasts from TWC, I'd expect a nationwide icebox. This was last year's infamously terrible forecast from TWC.
  15. Morch Madness

    Pre-Turkey Day Storm Obs (Rain,Snow, Sleet...Cloudy)

    2.5" as of 6:00, hopefully this band can get me to a full 3".
  16. Morch Madness

    Pre-Turkey Day Storm Obs (Rain,Snow, Sleet...Cloudy)

    Just had a massive thunderclap. Was not expecting thundersnow.
  17. Morch Madness

    Wednesday into Turkey Day Storm

    It's going to be awful close though. Elevation will make a whole lot of difference as well. But I do agree, our area seems to luck out more often than not on these types of gradient storms.
  18. Morch Madness

    Wednesday into Turkey Day Storm

    HRRR is disappointing, looks like mostly rain and sleet. At this point I'd be happy with 1-2".
  19. Morch Madness

    Wednesday into Turkey Day Storm

    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=16#
  20. Morch Madness

    Wednesday into Turkey Day Storm

    http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html
  21. Morch Madness

    Wednesday into Turkey Day Storm

    My apologies, Instant Weather Maps and coolwx.com graphs seemed to indicate mostly or all snow
  22. Morch Madness

    Wednesday into Turkey Day Storm

    NAM is 6-10" for all of PA
  23. Morch Madness

    Wednesday into Turkey Day Storm

    Yes please
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