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Posts posted by Wxdavis5784
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7 minutes ago, mitchnick said:
Either the 6z Euro is screwed up or we're all screwed.
Seen this a time or two…
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Currently 19.9
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1 minute ago, mitchnick said:
I’ll sign up for that…
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2 minutes ago, Chris78 said:
I think the Euros superior resolution really shows in marginal events. Euro is better than any other weather model in the world.
It's not always right but when it's persistent on a certain outcome ussually other models trend towards it.
Except when we want it to be the right one!
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1 minute ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:
Thanks Davis, apologies for referring to you as "that other fella" haha. We've had a good number of new people around here lately and can be hard to keep track at times.
Haha no worries.
I am trying to ease my way into posting more here.
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3 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:
Indeed you are. If I'm not mistaken you guys have a bit of elevation around your area that may help, no? Either you or that other fella reside up near 800'? I assume that varies quite a bit from the town of Hanover? I'm not overly familiar with that area. I have a ridge directly behind my house that gets to 600-700' in spots but I only sit part way up it at a little under 500'.
Im on the southside of Hanover in Parkville, and I sit at about 741'
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2 minutes ago, Festus said:
So I fired up the snow blower for the first time in nearly 2 years in anticipation. Guaranteed kiss of death every time. Sorry guys, next time I'll wait.
Saw my neighbor doing it yesterday and thought the same thing. I rebuilt the carb on mine this fall and got her running smooth, since I didnt start it once last year...
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10 minutes ago, mitchnick said:
If we don't stop the bleeding today, preferably reverse direction, I'm toast.
I recall discussions at easternwx years ago that the reason for slow north drifts was because modeling incorrectly forecasted the strength of blocking/high pressure to our N/NE. If that was, in fact, the problem, they haven't fixed it yet.
Amen brother. And that is exactly what we have seen with less confluence and a weaker high than what was projected 3 days ago.
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1 hour ago, mitchnick said:
For us, the modeling has been pretty consistent...almost scarily so! That should make their job easier. Still waiting for the rug to get rug pulled out but not gunna worry about it one way or the other. You haven't been a real disappointed snow weenie unless you lived south of Baltimore for 60+ years.
Nah just 40
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11 minutes ago, mitchnick said:
My wife occasionally watches the local news with Finkbiener (sp?) and says he's pretty good. But we haven't been up here with a nail biter snow threat like this one. Idk what he's said as of now because she hasn't been watching any local news lately.
I usually watch WGAL or Fox43 if I tune in. It will be interesting to see how they score on this one.
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13 minutes ago, mitchnick said:
Honestly, I have not watched local tv for weather, when I lived in MD or here, since PD2 in 2/03.
I watch em, but just to see where their bias lies.
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18 minutes ago, mitchnick said:
Still like my initial thoughts from yesterday morning that 4-8" seems most likely for most of forum, with an upside of 6-10".
Agreed but I don’t like the mixing shown on the Euro…
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Maybe I am a total weenie, but I am liking the 12z Guidance...
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4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:
At 10:1, that is drastically different that the SLR one I saw. SLR was about half.
Thats all I get with WB.
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For anyone who wants a look.
Here is the 12Z ICON Snowfall output.
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Central PA Winter 23/24
in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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LOL Same. I can see Adams county as well... Its less than 1/2 mile from me. I am pulling for your initial call!!