The Rgem snow map west of ORH-Tolland is brutally low. This has honestly been my go-to model outside of the Euro in many events. When is the last time it was this far off the day of an event?
honestly I wouldn't be shocked if it setup right on the valley floor, subsidence downsloping and shadowing FTL
call me Debby downer but I've seen it too many times in this area
is anyone concerned that it still corrected somewhat northeast and that the trend may continue?not to be a Debbie Downer it looks like an absolutely beautiful run I just want to make sure it can hold.
it looks like there was another dual low pressure on the
Gem at hour 24, without an nice clean and early enough capture ,Western New England could be toast.
Sounds good to me. Everyone is going to get smoked and elevation there is good. The deformation band is still an unsettled matter in my mind but that may be a nowcast situation.
Taunton Disco talks about how banding can pivot further west in intense cyclones. It could be right but I think it could tick west if that same track holds.
taking a closer look at the RGEM , that deformation banding was definitely a little heavier and a tic west of the previous run. The overall track looks almost identical.