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CT Valley Snowman

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Everything posted by CT Valley Snowman

  1. The Rgem snow map west of ORH-Tolland is brutally low. This has honestly been my go-to model outside of the Euro in many events. When is the last time it was this far off the day of an event?
  2. Im totally stunned at the model variance. Nervous feeling in the pit of my stomach.
  3. sorry it's probably me that's melting down the most, I just need to take a step back and see how it unfolds
  4. honestly I wouldn't be shocked if it setup right on the valley floor, subsidence downsloping and shadowing FTL call me Debby downer but I've seen it too many times in this area
  5. not really,the euro is an all of southern New England special. 2 inches of QPF right to the New York border.
  6. the nam needs to hold ground and the other models need to tick slightly west or its going to turn into a central and eastern New England special.
  7. is anyone concerned that it still corrected somewhat northeast and that the trend may continue?not to be a Debbie Downer it looks like an absolutely beautiful run I just want to make sure it can hold.
  8. and I really hope you're right, RGEM and GFS do not look like they want to push west at all.
  9. it looks like there was another dual low pressure on the Gem at hour 24, without an nice clean and early enough capture ,Western New England could be toast.
  10. honest assessment Mets please, how concerned should we be from the Connecticut River Valley points west?
  11. I'm just starting to familiarize myself with sref, at what time does the next set come out?
  12. Sounds good to me. Everyone is going to get smoked and elevation there is good. The deformation band is still an unsettled matter in my mind but that may be a nowcast situation.
  13. Taunton Disco talks about how banding can pivot further west in intense cyclones. It could be right but I think it could tick west if that same track holds.
  14. starting at 12 to 24 would have been better than 20-30 down there.
  15. Wondering if we converge on a Feb 2006 type placement on the Deform band?
  16. taking a closer look at the RGEM , that deformation banding was definitely a little heavier and a tic west of the previous run. The overall track looks almost identical.
  17. Cant sleep much, way too amped. Just a bit if dozing off and a touch of R.E.M.
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