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rolltide_130

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Everything posted by rolltide_130

  1. rolltide_130
    The 12z GFS is showing a hint of a possible secondary low developing perhaps along the I-40 corridor near Elk City by 0z Saturday evening. If that comes to fruition, there could be a locally enhanced area in central and southern/SW OK.
  2. rolltide_130
    Was hinting at possibly as far south into Dixie a couple days ago. Not sure if I buy it but that sure would be something for that part of the country.
  3. rolltide_130
    Long-range ensembles have begun to pick up on a pretty progressive central/eastern ridging and western troughing pattern towards the end of the run, with some good consistency between all 3 ensembles. Has that trough swinging into the southwest at the end of the run and ejecting out over the plains. CFS seems to have keyed in on this system as well, and seems to be favoring TX/OK and eastward into Dixie for a shot at possibly some severe weather within the 9th-12th timeframe.
  4. rolltide_130
    Not really seeing the significant threat part of this right now. Lack of thermodynamics and a cold air intrusion into the Gulf in the days leading up to this system could put a lid on this one. Could still be good for a marginal low CAPE/high shear setup, but I'm not sold on this being a significant threat unless thermodynamic profiles start trending upward.
  5. rolltide_130
    Good ol' 2015 Oh, you have a good setup for some discrete, chasable storms? Have some junk convection. Oh, there's no junk convection? Have yourself a fat, messy MCS without a single SVR warning on it.
  6. rolltide_130
    Well this got messy fast. NE and IA already looks like a bust.
  7. rolltide_130
    Liking what I'm seeing on the radar so far. Looks like the MCS cleared out and doesn't show any plans of backbuilding at the current moment. If that area can get a good few hours of unfiltered sun I'm liking the chances of an isolated strong TOR or two.
  8. rolltide_130
    From about 5:00 onward I'd say it reminds me of El Reno '13. Crazy stuff.
  9. rolltide_130
    Next in line for this year's list of tornadoes that have produced insane motion... http://youtu.be/T3ymPt91G14
  10. rolltide_130
    Facebook post from a storm chaser who was on this tornado states that asphalt was scoured from a road by the tornado. Similar report from Reed Timmer. https://www.facebook.com/GregJohnsonTornadoHunter/posts/995835310447136?hc_location=ufi
  11. rolltide_130
    Very strong couplet NW of Fedora. TDS as well.
  12. rolltide_130
    Tornado was confirmed on broadcast media, although I have no access to the source that saw it.
  13. rolltide_130
    I'm really getting worried about a significant tornado running over a populated area that's been hammered by rain. Seeing as a lot of storm shelters are failing because of water, there may very well be a situation in which they could get pulled out of the ground and thrown, or even more cases of people becoming trapped in them because of floodwater.
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