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ATLMet84

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Posts posted by ATLMet84

  1. How is the heaviest rain forecast to be so far north of the center's path? I always thought the heaviest rain was along and to the east of the center which would be Columbus to Macon to Augusta in this instance. For a cyclone that will traverse almost as far south if not as far south as Macon, hard to believe some of its heaviest rain could occur as far north as the northern ATL burbs but maybe I'm wrong, just doubtful.

  2. 1 hour ago, Lookout said:

    12z euro showing a bullseye of  around 14 inches here which is probably overdone....but  6  to 8 seems reasonable. 

    Seeing as though the forecast keeps trending S/E with the highest totals, I'd say you are correct about being in the bullseye for this thing. FFC has me with 4-6" or so but I'll believe it when I see it. I've heard there will be a very shart cutoff on the north side and I just hope I'm not too far N/W to get some decent totals.

  3. 10 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

    0.32" here with maybe another shower or two to go this morning. On top of the weekend snow melt and general wetness from last couple weeks, it will be a while before I can put any attention to my yard. It is a mud pit atm

    Same here. Low lying areas are like lakes around here.

  4. 12 hours ago, ATLMet84 said:

    What a crazy wet start to the year here. 7.57" in January and the .56" here so far today brings my monthly total to a whopping 12.98" with probably a quarter inch or so more to go tonight. Crazy rains but sure beats the hell out of a drought!

    An additional .46" overnight brings my monthly total to 13.44"! #lovin' it

  5. 3 minutes ago, SnowDawg said:

    That's the hope. Mid level warm noses scare me though because they are rarely modeled very well. I've had plenty a disappointing heavy sleet storms before. HRRR and WRF giving me hope though pushing that rain snow line south pretty fast tomorrow morning. 

    I'll take your sleet and leave you with the snow lol. Just give me something besides rain lol. Even if it doesn't accumulate, I'd rather see sleet bouncing everywhere and melting than just stupid rain.

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  6. 1 minute ago, burrel2 said:

    Well there's several things working against N GA. 

    For one, the 800mb temperature gradient is laid out East to West, which cuts off Georgia's chances at snow before lunch other than the top row of counties.

    Also the precip moves through Georgia earlier... before the 800mb temperature gradient begins to sag south much.

    Secondly, the CAD didn't have time to drive much cold/dry air at the 900-950mb level in to Georgia before the storm hits. These layers improve as you go east in to SC/NC,(and later arrival of precip helps).

     

    This isn't to say that Northeastern Georgia is out of the running for accumulations, Especially if you have some elevation in the NE Ga mountains. They are actually in a pretty good spot, imo.

     

     

    Well, I know that SnowDawg in Rabun County at 2400' stands the best chance of anyone from GA on these boards. Maybe he will get another covering of snow.

  7. 14 minutes ago, burrel2 said:

    There is a CAD element involved for the upstate and NC. Without the CAD our boundary layer conditions would be horrible.  With the cad we have a nice punch of sub-freezing air at 925mb, allowing snow to reach the ground as long as the mid-level warm nose doesn't mess things up.

    So, I assume that is why us in N GA aren't expecting much of anything. Horrible boundary layer without CAD, just relying on cold from the NW (which is a death wish down here, cold chasing moisture).

  8. I'm up to 8.82" for the month and 16.39" for the year. Probably will pick up another half inch to inch tonight. I love it! I also love (not) when the weather on the local news likes to discount the wedge areas in NE GA. It was another very warm day they say. Yeah, Cartersville to Atlanta to Athens hit the low to mid 70s. Meanwhile my location only hit 62.6 with a light easterly wedge wind. They do that all the time, it's annoying.

  9. 13 minutes ago, NEGa said:

    There are a lot of ga posters too (we just don’t usually get to post about exciting we as much since until recently we weren’t having anything to post about lol).  It’s pouring here snd 43 and the water is already filling up in the ditches. This has been some wild weather the last week or so. 

    Yeah man. I'll take this rain over a drought ANYDAY. The slug of moisture to our west is crazy. I wonder if I'll make 10"+ just for the month before it's even the 15th of the month!

  10. 4 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

    Never criticize excitement for any snowstorm outside of the mountains in this sub forum. If everyone here had already had 10 events, this one would still get just as much attention on this site and that is one of the things that is great about this region. 1 inch storms are a big deal to a lot of posters bc the other 364 days in the year we don't get to see snow make every flake a blessing! Happy for the guys that scored, that was a big storm for some of the posters on here! A 6 inch storm anywhere on this board is a good one, especially when it over-performs and stays all snow throughout! Enjoyed living vicariously through yall for the day

    :clap: Well said and totally the truth! For those this happened to in N GA/Upstate SC, we often miss out while you mountain folks and NC Piedmont and such cash in; usually our thermals are too warm down here and we get rain, sleet, or zr or something goes wrong for us. This is one of the only storms I can remember where it started as snow, ended as snow, and the main thing; overperformed. I did not expect what I got so the more posts about this relatively "surprise" storm, the better! It started as a few flurries, grew to larger flakes, accumulated first thing (timing was PERFECT for most of us) and ended as large flakes.

  11. I know this board is more geared towards the Carolinas but I'm not sure I've ever seen the WPC issue a high risk for excessive rainfall in N GA or for such a large area extending from Central MS to NW/NC GA. I'm up to .63" at my location (today and for the event so far) and forecasts are calling for 3-4" here just through tomorrow evening with more on the way especially thursday. I'm already at 6.71" for the month and 14.28" for the year. Wow at the rain to start this year here.

     

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