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alex

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Posts posted by alex

  1. Ahhhhhhh. I hate this. We have a check-in today for someone who paid over $25,000 to rent a luxury home for 10 days. It sucks so bad for them! But even more the anxiety over flooding is killing me. About 1/3 of the SREF river models for the Ammonoosuc show us flooding quite badly. I have 20 people in a house that's right along the river. Im quite confident that in this pattern we will get 0 CAD in my location. It's going to torch and it's going to rain. I'm REALLY hoping for some SEVERE downsloping that keeps us high and dry lol. But that's just wishful thinking. I have no idea if that's even an option with this storm. 

  2. 10 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said:

    Snowcover for 5 weeks and just as everyone comes up for the Christmas week we get a  torch and 2" or more of rain.  Sucks for all the winter enthusiasts and the ski areas...

    Alex,  your back near 20F by late Saturday night.  So it's really a 36 hours.  I would guess your deep snow pack can absorb a lot of rain before big runoff occurs.  I really think you will be fine.   It's not like April when the mountains have an entire winter pack and then a week of 50's with heavy rain.  Is the Ammon. susceptible for ice jams like the Pemi down here in Plymouth?  

    No fortunately I don't think ice dams are too much of an issue. I've heard it's happened but it's rare until you get down into Littleton and especially a bit south of there. It's pretty shallow up here, as we are only a few miles from its source at Lakes of the Clouds, which I think reduces the potential for significant jamming

  3. 6 hours ago, wxeyeNH said:

    Alex,   Just looked at your cam.  So much frickin snow.   Down here the flurries went all day and most of last evening.  After about 24 hours of flurries I don't have a dusting to snow from it.  Just the snow from the birch bomb.  Your going to have slush city up there and in much of NNE come Friday/Saturday.  The snow down here is cement and the deer are having an awful time digging through it for soem nibbles of grass.  Personally I would not mind a complete melt and a start over after a week or so.

    Yes, snow is deep and water content is high. Doubly concerned for Friday given our propensity to flood. Where you now see so much snow you may see trees float by come Monday! Grrrrr. A bit anxious about it. Modeling for the Ammo river doesn't seem to indicate flooding but it seems to my inexperienced eye that they are underestimaing the snowmelt (see attachment). I can't imagine the pack can survive 24 hours of heavy rain at 40+ degrees. :wacko: The graph below seems to indicate only a 20% or so loss

    05ABE9CE-30DC-481B-AA74-3F66C9C00A2E.jpeg

  4. 13 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

    Car is dusted up and covered again up this way.  Snowing for like 28 hours now totaling like 3" :lol:.

    About 6" here but the stuff that's falling now is like the fake plastic snow you put on Xmas trees. It has zero weight to it

  5. 33 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

    Lol I remember when you were going to move up there and you were asking us about upslope there

    Haha yep. Very happy with the choice! Wouldn't mind turning Vermont into a lake (nothing personal, I love Vermont), but this will do for the time being :)

  6. 4 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

    Wow, didn't realize you had that much up there, that's one of our vacation spots along with Powderfreaks area.

     

    3 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

    How does it feel to have that much snow on the ground?  I miss that feeling greatly.

    A lot of people are surprised. Had a meeting with a wedding planner this morning who came up from Portland and was shocked - she wanted to see the yard, firepit etc lol. 

    I like having a deep pack, for sure, although I'm more into watching it fall than the pack itself. Of course, the combination of the 2 is the holy grail. Hopefully we rebuild fast after this cutter, we've had a deep snowpack for quite a while

  7. 1 hour ago, OceanStWx said:

    NAEFS guidance has quite a few members that wipe out much of the pack at Moretown, VT. On average it's only about an inch liquid lost, but quite a few knock it down below an inch left on the ground. Even the picnic tables are under attack.

    MOOV1.NAEFS.SWE.expvalue_zps7swojnxt.gif

    Where do you get these? 

  8. 1 hour ago, OceanStWx said:

    NAEFS guidance has quite a few members that wipe out much of the pack at Moretown, VT. On average it's only about an inch liquid lost, but quite a few knock it down below an inch left on the ground. Even the picnic tables are under attack.

    MOOV1.NAEFS.SWE.expvalue_zps7swojnxt.gif

    Interesting. No idea how much water is in my pack, but I've seen it happen before. That said, I just had a showing for a wedding and we walked around the yard and it's incredibly sturdy. You can stand on top of a foot of snow with zero give, other than the 3" of fluffy stuff on top

  9. 17 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

    Snowy evening up and down the Spine this evening.  Quite a downward drift with the unbocked flow.

    1V9QVOK.gif

     

    Steady light to moderate snow, mid-winter vibe and about as expected.  2-3" at home and 3-6" Mtn still looks like a good bet.

    He1dBsB.jpg

    Same here. Hard to tell the amount, it's quite windy5AB3491F-5F10-4FC0-876D-D2B35E6ED557.thumb.jpeg.5dd1be54cbce751cae13d34dca8f56f3.jpeg

  10. 7 hours ago, North and West said:

    Banter question: I'm thinking of taking the kids up to see some New England highlights in the near future; possibly as soon as this summer. Do you know if there are tours/know anyone who does tours of the Mount Washington weather observatory? (yes, yes... www.lmgtfy.com) My kids are into the weather and baseball, so thinking of doing a big Cooperstown - Mount Washington loop from our home.

    I own a company that does vacation rentals in Bretton Woods - www.brettonwoodsrentals.com. You can do a tour of the observatory, just make sure you book in advance. The Cog is fun but you only get about an hour at the top (3 hour round trip); driving gives you a bit more time to explore. Of course, you could do both. ;) 

     

    PM if you need a place to stay - we have lots of options!

    • Like 1
  11. 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

    You know it’s bad when the upslope guys have ventured into their place of safety....Just PF, Jspin, and Alex. Tamarack gets an honorable mention since his pack never takes a hit. 

    LOL!!! Like PF, I don't want to be annoying. Some want to know what's doing up here because they have an interest, whether be skiing or sledding or just to live vicariously through others. Some just get annoyed. The NNE thread seems like a better place! I'm the type that roots for snow for everyone. I was in Tahoe and got back this morning, and I hate to see no snowcover so far North into NH on the drive up. Being obsessed with weather is a heartbreaking condition - and I certainly have it. It was a big part of my desire to move up here and a key reason for choosing this specific location vs somewhere like North Conway (business reasons aside). Even if we torch with cutters, just like we WILL torch this coming week, this area just gets so many more opportunities for snow even in crappy patterns that it never feels so bad. There always seems to be something around the corner. So I don't really like rubbing it in when it's snowing up here and everyone else has to deal with this hideous pattern. 

    • Like 1
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