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Northwest NJ

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Everything posted by Northwest NJ

  1. Northwest NJ

    Interior NW Burbs & Hudson Valley - Discussion

    Syracuse average snowfall rates are awesome. Can you imagine the years they shatter the normal amounts!
  2. Northwest NJ

    2/19-2/23 mild up

    Agreed. March sun angle will eat snow even on below normal temperature days. Even today we had melting. A couple of nights that don't go below freezing will soften the pack and some rain and fog will really eat the snowpack.
  3. Northwest NJ

    Interior NW Burbs & Hudson Valley - Discussion

    I'm very close to the intersection of 23/94 and I must just be missing it since the snow has lightened to flurries.
  4. Northwest NJ

    Interior NW Burbs & Hudson Valley - Discussion

    Snow has lightned up considerably in the last 10 minutes. What radar product are you using?
  5. Northwest NJ

    Interior NW Burbs & Hudson Valley - Discussion

    I'm about 5 miles west of Highland Lakes and it has been snowing as hard now as it has been most of the day.
  6. Northwest NJ

    Interior NW Burbs & Hudson Valley - Discussion

    Very heavy snow here again coming down sideways - what a stom!
  7. Northwest NJ

    Interior NW Burbs & Hudson Valley - Discussion

    Pounding sleet with a lot more snow mixing in. I think the snow line is pusing from west to east pretty rapidly and most of us will be mostly snow within the hour. Thanks everyone for all the updates and insights we have a great forum here!
  8. Very heavy sleet here with snow starting to mix back in, Hardyston Township, Sussex County NJ. Never had any rain here. 12.5 inches of snow followed by several hours of freezing drizzle, followed by heavy sleet the last hour or so and now snow mixing in with the sleet. What an incredible ride today!
  9. Northwest NJ

    Interior NW Burbs & Hudson Valley - Discussion

    Only heavy sleet here in Hardyston, NJ
  10. Northwest NJ

    Interior NW Burbs & Hudson Valley - Discussion

    You ain't kidding my friend. Exploding my not be a strong enough word!
  11. Northwest NJ

    Interior NW Burbs & Hudson Valley - Discussion

    I hope I can get into these heavy bands in Sussex NJ. I wonder how far west they will get.
  12. Northwest NJ

    Interior NW Burbs & Hudson Valley - Discussion

    Snow was light to moderate for 20 minutes and now heavy snow again!
  13. Northwest NJ

    Interior NW Burbs & Hudson Valley - Discussion

    Just took a fifteen minute walk and it is really ripping in Hardyston, Sussex County. Measured 6.5 inches.
  14. Northwest NJ

    Interior NW Burbs & Hudson Valley - Discussion

    Really heavy snow falling and piling up fast. Visibility is really poor now. Get ready in Central and Western Orange County this is coming your way.
  15. Northwest NJ

    Interior NW Burbs & Hudson Valley - Discussion

    Not that windy here yet.
  16. Northwest NJ

    Interior NW Burbs & Hudson Valley - Discussion

    Intensity really picking up in Hardyston Township, Sussex County. Please state your location when posting since the location indicator under your identity is missing for somne reason.
  17. Northwest NJ

    Interior NW Burbs & Hudson Valley - Discussion

    I'm trying to decide if I should go to bed early so I am up at sunrise to see the heavy snow materialize. I'll probably hang in until around midnight since I'm so excited and probably won't sleep. Some forecasts have mixing and rain all the way up here but I can't see plain rain making it here. Beer/wine store was packed around 8PM - people are hunkering down. I also noticed lines at the gas stations on route 23.
  18. Northwest NJ

    Interior NW Burbs & Hudson Valley - Discussion

    Here is Accuweather's region snowmap from this morning at 11:15. pretty impressive for us in the interior. The Pre-Valentine Snowstorm of 2014 February 11, 2014; 11:12 AMTuesday morning A major winter storm from the Gulf States will be picked up by an energetic upper-air feature (a short wave with cold air aloft (a long wave is the kind that can cover much of a continent, but it often has a number of shorter waves traveling through it)) to develop a storm that strengthens on its way up the East coast. There is still some model wobble on the location of the snow/rain line at the height of the storm. This is a very big deal in a storm like this because in places where snow changes to rain, it can be snowing 1-2 inches an hour before the changeover. If a forecaster misses the timing by 3 hours, that can mean a 3- to 6-inch forecast error on accumulations. This video shows two of the model ideas from last night. The GFS (U.S. model) had taken the storm out to sea 24 hours earlier but has since trended toward the European model idea, which has changed little from run to run. This is a draft of our accumulation forecast from this morning. Note how a shift in the storm path by 50-100 miles will have major consequences in the accumulation department. From a big picture standpoint, any storm that can affect places from Atlanta to Atlantic Canada with snow and ice will cause major disruptions.
  19. Northwest NJ

    February 4th-6th Storm Threat Discussion

    Upton also considers the NAM an outlier. SOME FLUCTUATION BETWEEN MODELS OF THE POSITION OF THE LOW. SOME LIKE THE NAM...ARE MORE NORTH WITH THE LOW WHILE THE GFS...ECMWF...AND CMC ARE FURTHER SOUTH. NAM AND ITS TEMPERATURES ARE GOING TO BE ON THE WARMER SIDE AND WILL NOT BE USED AS MUCH AS OTHER MODELS CONCERNING THE FORECAST.
  20. Northwest NJ

    Interior NW Burbs & Hudson Valley - Discussion

    Steady light snow I have a dusting here
  21. Northwest NJ

    Interior NW Burbs & Hudson Valley - Discussion

    River ice - I am interested to see how much river ice forms in the next week or two on the Delaware and Hudson. Prolonged days and nights of below and well below freezing will continually add more ice to the rivers. I usually cross the Delaware several times a month at either Dingmans Falls, Milford or Barryville. I usually only cross the Hudson at the GWB 2x a week. If anyone crosses these rivers I would love to get a report on how much ice there is. If we get a quick warmup in a few weeks with rain lookout for some ice jams and flooding.
  22. Northwest NJ

    How and when will this severe cold pattern end ?

    Thanks for posting this info. I didn't have the data to back this up but I thought the last three summers were cooler than normal. I hope the next few summers are below or near normal - I hate extreme heat
  23. Northwest NJ

    Interior NW Burbs & Hudson Valley - Discussion

    I love our sub-forum and thank all those who post. I spend about 3 -4 days a week in Sussex NJ and the same amount of time in Whitestone, Queens ( two residences) Because of work I was in Queens yesterday for the storm and although my area in Queens received 8-9 inches of snow my snow allegiance is to the Northwest. I also spend many days visiting friends in Orange and Sullivan County NY and Pike County PA so I like hearing all the snow and temperature updates from these and other areas in our sub-forum. I've exchanged posts with a number of you but iIthought I would share with you how long I've been in the "great northwest" and would like to hear how long you have been living in our area. I moved to Sussex County in October 1998 and have split time between Sussex and Queens NY since that time.
  24. Northwest NJ

    Interior NW Burbs & Hudson Valley - Discussion

    Hopefully the snowpack will result in lower night time temperatures. However much we get it is not melting anytime soon!
  25. Northwest NJ

    Interior NW Burbs & Hudson Valley - Discussion

    It will be interesting to see how far North and West the heavy precip gets. I've seen storms were eastern Sussex County does well and there is a sharp cutoff as you move west in the county closer to the Delaware river. Same thing for Orange County sometimes Monroe gets hit hard and there is much less snow in Port Jervis or Middletown.
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