Yeoman

26 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Incoming snore fest 

Sunny and 70s does sound awful.. Hopefully mom's basement doesn't get too bright.

But don't fret, I'm sure there will be plenty of rain this winter to make everyone happy.

46 minutes ago, pazzo83 said:

around 0.6" so far for the past several days (actually all of Sept so far) in NW DC.  Pathetic.

After the last 2 months no one in DC is hurting for rain.. 

1 hour ago, clskinsfan said:

It has rained 6 times since May 1st at my house. Think about that. 

Lucky

2 hours ago, Conway7305 said:

GFS continues  to show long range storm threat of some sort September 24th. This is the 3rd or 4th run in a row. Unlikely to be correct but worth mentioning. 

There is no day 14 model prog worth mentioning

Oh good.. harmlessly out to sea. Hopefully Carnival cruise line is taking this one seriously!

Everything good in Valdosta?

13 minutes ago, wendy said:

 

Look at all of those palm fronds on the road! Pretty lame winds for the eyewall of a Cat 3

If you all put as much time and effort into something productive rather than chasing unicorns, you'd all be millionaires living in the Sierra Nevada mountains.. 

17 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Agree.  It wouldn't take much with that depiction.   Definitely don't expect models to nail down key features rn

Or a week from now for that matter.. 

The closest we're getting to snow this year is the Big Bear Eagle's nest

26 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Usually when CAD events get closer in time, it usually trends stronger and then overperforms. 

But that was in the previous… um… “era” when we actually had near normal temps. 

1932?

5 hours ago, Weather Will said:

WB 18Z EURO v. GFS.   Differences in precipitation totals at 60 hours is still significant.

Who gives a fuck? Its rain.

It was never alive.. 

1 hour ago, paulythegun said:

18z GFS weaker, slower, further south. The column is BONE DRY sunday night at DCA. nothing even reaches the area.

 

Darn.. I was so looking forward to a rainy Sunday

11 minutes ago, IronTy said:

Just finished leg day and a nice protein shake. 

Nice - might as well knock out the shake while you're down there. 

12 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Trying to find something positive in the 12Z runs

You need to find a new talent.. did you make your bed yet?

Who said howard didn't have a sense of humor? 

2 hours ago, Ji said:

this belongs in some kind of thread right?

With the lottery number guesses

18 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said:

Looks like a prime set up for a zonal overrunning events just so long as the cold air can set up and press down from the north I think we would be in business from January 27th to about February 8th or so. 

The 7th looks more likely based on the current squirrel population

1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Roger Smith says massive overrunning event first week of Feb then spring. 

I'd hold out for John Doe's forecast before getting excited

18 minutes ago, Ji said:

I think psu or someone talked about 99-00 winter analog which had all our winter basically in late January

The GFS day 12 guess verifies a different analog 4 times a day

8 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

hr 240 gives EGC/ORF measurable snow before us...file that one under GFS spits out a totally believable scenario

A day 10 model forecast is equally believable to predicting that unicorns will fly out of Randy's ass at 240 hrs. 

9 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

If I can’t post sarcastic comments I might as well not post. It’s my niche lol.

Fronts are serious business.. if you want to joke amongst meaningless posts, head to the long range discussion

23 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

IMO, the 2hr delay calls were good. It allowed people to just pace themselves. 

Definitely paced my drinking last night so I could sleep in.. other than that, it wasn't needed for 99% of the area. 

It's already raining aloft

32 minutes ago, H2O said:

Based on the last two weeks of incessant model posts of things 240+ hours away my thoughts have been this

12/5-12/10: pattern starts changing from mild to seasonal or BN

12/12-12/17: storm chances increase, too early to know precip type

12/20-12/31: pattern stable or RELOAD?  

If I’m wrong someone let me know. If it wants to snow after the -AO/NAO sets in then great but D+7 models won’t know until mid month

240 hours away from those dates it will be 240 hours out

4 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said:

Doug K was right lots of rain through the New Year  worst best pattern ever

What does WTOP say?