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ShawnEastTN

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  1. ShawnEastTN
    Dang was hoping to read an AFD from the 12th & 13th of March 1993 for MRX probably pretty entertaining. They have other products though for those days that were nostalgic. I was only 13 at the time and really hoped to see what they wrote for Discussions for those days. Still was amazing seeing in B&W "Blizzard conditions at times" & "Stay indoors and DO NOT attempt to travel today" in an SPS. Great find BTW, adding to bookmarks. I just want one more blizzard of 93 before I'm really old.
  2. ShawnEastTN
    My high did the same thing for today. Originally forecast 2 days ago to be 34, then changed to be 31 only topped out at 28. This may not be the most extreme cold snap in East Tennessee, but it will be well remembered for both the intense cold long duration and amount of time snow has been on the ground. Now at a week from first snow and cold. A week later still have about 7 or 8 inches of snow left on the ground. Only lost a small amount to sublimation, think the freezing rain locked it in so that it cannot sublimate as quickly as a normal snow would have.
  3. ShawnEastTN
    Turning out to be a good NW flow event IMBY compared to most. Have pretty good light snow falling. Most NW flow I get a shower or 2 and flurries. I've had pretty consistent light snow for the last hour. My valley location doesn't usually get much from these but this might over perform for me.
  4. ShawnEastTN
    Just beginning to reach me and now a light snow shower. Interesting enough this morning I went above freezing to 33. Though now it appears to be falling again.
  5. ShawnEastTN
    Wow it is really bad out there I swear I already have about a tenth of an inch of glaze which is what they were calling for as the upper limit.
  6. ShawnEastTN
    I keep getting showers for about 10 minutes like the ones circled, and between those I get drizzle. Drizzle alone is bad, I think as the night goes on they'll become more numerous.
  7. ShawnEastTN
    I have had showers with drizzle in between them since it started. I think things will continue saturating through this into more steady rain but even looking up stream the precip looks showery instead of continuous rain. Though I would be absolutely fine if I didn't get another drop. Just the little bit I've gotten so far has made the roads worse.
  8. ShawnEastTN
    I'm really surprised how persistent my temp has been with how strong WAA has been outside the snow area. Essentially since about 1pm it's stayed 28/29, dewpoint has been very slowly rising though now up to 26. I guess evaporative cooling has had an impact all day here. Wonder if I'll go above freezing later in the night or will dew point stop climbing at some point.
  9. ShawnEastTN
    Never got above 29 today raining and glazing here. Areas of packed snow on roads is turning into solid clear type ice that you get no traction on. Locally there are vehicles now stuck between hills on a couple roads that got progressively worse over the last 2 hours. Had a nice shower almost moderate in nature that lasted about 15 minutes that seemed to speed the glazing.
  10. ShawnEastTN
    Maybe a good sign it'll be more sleet than freezing rain. I have a return over me but nothing fall currently.
  11. ShawnEastTN
    Yeah I'm wondering if that is what has seemed to lock my temperature down. I rose from 4 degrees this morning rather quickly to 25 then the rise slowed after clouds and stalled at 26/27. I've been sitting at like 26.9, and 27.1 back and forth for a couple hours now and climbing has stopped completely. I noticed humidity has really increased 82%, my dewpoint is 22.
  12. ShawnEastTN
    A tenth of an inch isn't too terrible, but all it takes is 1 weaker tree, then adding hundreds of pounds of ice to the weight to it to fall and take a line out. So it's definitely possible. A lot of folks don't think about the combined weight a mature tree especially a pine or cedar is holding up with a tenth of an inch of ice on every nook and cranny. It's an astounding amount of weight up to the weight of a small car. For my area trees still have snow on them that is sealed to the tree by freezing rain at the end of the snow Monday. That already has pines and cedars bending under the weight. Add more freezing rain and Friday wind gusts 25-30mph and I think it's a guarantee for at least sporadic outages. I don't think widespread outages but definitely will be some.
  13. ShawnEastTN
    Wow that is incredible! Aren't cruising upward like that up this way. Seems to plateaued around 25/26 here since clouds moved in. Snow still isn't melting here.
  14. ShawnEastTN
    Yeah as I look toward the west toward the plateau it looks dark like a summer thunderstorm approaching almost.
  15. ShawnEastTN
    Should add I've made it to 25 and overcast conditions are either moving in or developing. Can't tell for sure, but it seems like it developed overhead rather than moved in from the west. Anyone on the plateau have overcast skies or sunshine?
  16. ShawnEastTN
    Definitely still possible, these situations can be surprising like that. I would prefer sleet if can't get snow over freezing rain but I have a feeling it's going to be equally if not more treacherous tomorrow morning as it was end of day Monday and Tuesday morning. A little ice is a big deal in normal circumstances let alone with many roads even in Knoxville sill ice/snow packed.
  17. ShawnEastTN
    Yeah I believe the higher elevation actually works a bit in favor of warmer in this scenario at least initially. Lower points will trap shallow cold easier. Though with snowpack think everyone with it, will likely get the freezing rain in general.
  18. ShawnEastTN
    Glad to see MRX come to their senses this morning. They were potentially putting a lot of folks into a false sense of everything will be fine, disregarding the trapped cold, enhanced by deep unusual snowpack. I was stunned yesterday at how they were proceeding. Glad to see them right that ship.
  19. ShawnEastTN
    I haven't busted my low, but I'm at it now. My point forecast low is 12 that is what I'm at now. I imagine I'll be much lower by daybreak.
  20. ShawnEastTN
    That sucks man, to have so much going on at once is difficult.
  21. ShawnEastTN
    Likely evening. Exact time would be hard to guess, but probably not earlier than 5 PM and probably no later than 8PM for that start time.
  22. ShawnEastTN
    OHX Ice accumulation map which I know aren't hand drawn has almost all of Meigs, McMinn and probably Loudon county showing up to a tenth of an inch freezing rain. I believe their graphic more than I do MRX as it's just more reasonable.
  23. ShawnEastTN
    I'm expecting to get near zero again tonight, I know they are expecting SW winds to advect warm air, but SW of me for about 200 miles is snow pack all the way to Huntsville Alabama. I'm sure that distance of snow pack will have an impact on the temperature here all the way to Knox County and beyond.
  24. ShawnEastTN
    Yeah I am stunned they didn't include Meigs and Loudon counties. They love the magical meteorological barrier of I-40, completely disregarding in both counties there is 10 inches of snow on the ground. Kind of bizarre. It's going to be treacherous even with regular liquid, roads here are still snow/ice packed with concrete tough ice that's 3 inches thick on the pavement. Plows can't break it up and salt has had no impact. You take that plus some rain of any variety then flash freeze it with the snow and ice already there and it might be really bad.
  25. ShawnEastTN
    Probably hit my high today about 5 degrees below forecast. Usually about 3 pm is my maximum and 24 is all I could muster. Not really melting snow, still in trees like it just happened and trees are usually the first place to lose snow for me before the ground. If we have a clear night most of the night but clouds move in toward daybreak locking temps down, I am just not sure WAA is going to have a big enough impact locally to really help with tomorrow's storm.
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