Supernovice

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

You are definitely being censored right now. I would agree genuinely as a person who really hates censorship.

It’s also a weather forum so not a lot of sympathy from me. We used to never allow even financial talk in here...only started when covid happened. We always told people to go to off topic. 

We’ve historically been fine with marginally related wx stuff ala “what do people think of this type of snow blower, lawn mower, etc, etc”. 

So that's why my thread got deleted? It's fine to be censored- you guys have a job or whatever to do. But just apply this across the board then, and be fair about it.

2 minutes ago, Supernovice said:

You're not a fan of business stuff? Lollll

I started my own thread. have fun posting your  weather banter here- but remember, remain very specific and involve weather at all times.

temp 38 degrees, at 8:53:52am.

You're not a fan of business stuff? Lollll

3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

No more Corona talk in here.  Take it elsewhere.

Sir this is a Wendy’s.
 

It’s stock market talk

This is making its way through my circle this weekend

Really very interesting re: tethers impact on the overall crypto market- yikes.

https://crypto-anonymous-2021.medium.com/the-bit-short-inside-cryptos-doomsday-machine-f8dcf78a64d3

11 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Tom Brady is not gonna care what the weather shows. This will be #14 Conference Championship game in his 19 seasons he’s played.

I was joking- a 7 day forecast for GB in January of high 20’s and a chance of snow is pretty funny...I mean c’mon.

Same about TB, did you see Erin Andrews ask him about his recently thinned blood and playing in the cold in the postgame interview? I mean c’mon he’s the GOAT.

my jokes aren’t as funny when I have to explain them.

1 minute ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

GB us gonna smoke either one of these teams next week (i think).

Ya I mean did you see the fox weather graphic?...next Sunday in GB temps- high 20’s, chance of snow, and Tampa is used to the warm weather.

sarcasm on both counts- both the wonderful 7 day forecast and warm weather team comments.

Drewwwwwwwwwwwwwwww ughhhh

Just now, CoastalWx said:

We all can agree Ravens can eat a D.

Dude was just gunna post- are the bills really gunna do this??

1 hour ago, PhineasC said:

Has this virus been good for your stock portfolio? There is a whole class of people pushing the lockdowns and restrictions because it helps their wallets. Hope that’s not you, man. 

I spend my time dealing with things called facts, and mathematical certainties. Like the below, which I can't believe I have actually have to do:

Baseline: R= 1.1, Infections= 10,000, fatality risk= 0.8% generation time= 6 days so: 10,000*(1.1^5)*0.8=129 deaths after 1 month of spread.

50% Increase in fatality risk: only variable change is 0.8%*1.5, all others baseline= 193 new deaths

50% Increase in transmission.  Only variable change is now (1.1*1.5)^5= 978 new deaths over the month.

There is a whole class of people playing down the virus because it fits their twisted worldview. Hope that’s not you, man.

Can we cross reference those that think the new variants aren’t a big deal because they are not more deadly, with their math aptitude? 
 

This feels like “it’s just the flu” but even more dumb and dangerous if that’s possible.

13 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Oxford was approved in Uk and couple other countries. Initially I thought they would be gold standard.

You have to recall to, that different companies are sort of designing their studies for higher success I.e enrolling less 75+ “elderly” ) and more 65-74 , as well as some are not enrolling folks w high blood pressure or diabetes And being over 75 . The Surgeon  General Has spoken highly about Novovax bc their enrollment has a higher amount of elderly African Americans with Co-morbidity’s. (I.E those with highest death rate)

The Oxford- AstraZeneca trial was garbage. Combining data from different countries, the dosage fiasco etc...AstraZeneca really f-ing blew it. On multiple multiple levels, including with the FDA. Really shameful tbh.

7 minutes ago, tamarack said:

We're in a very low population density area, and this week was the first time any acquaintances caught the virus - a family that had been attending the same church as us but moved to another nearby one last summer.  We have good friends in that 2nd church so we'll be alert for future cases there.

churchs, and anywhere indoors for periods of time greater than 10-15 mins, are huge huge risks regardless of population density.  Does your congregation do mass online?

54 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

The warm node that is inducing the melt is propegating throughout the amex weenies....hit me last wknd, now Kev. Maybe you hate to see it, but I don't bc it's funny shit.

It’s a new more contagious variant... will the vaccine work? The science is still out.

10 minutes ago, WhitinsvilleWX said:

 

There’s plenty of head room actually, at least in Massachusetts. Boston hospitals only have 15-20% of total capacity that consist of Covid patients. Some outlying hospitals have upwards of 30%. But there’s plenty of room. Back during April, there were 4500 in the hospital.

LA outnumbered is another story. I had no idea there were 10 million people in that one county. Dear god, that’s the population of Massachusetts, RI and Connecticut combined.

In mass some headroom yes. I was talking about u.s. hospitalizations as a whole plateauing...really hope our educated population and healthcare bent help us weather this locally better than others. Going to be a depressing few months ahead on the COVID front.

3 minutes ago, WhitinsvilleWX said:

Some of the decrease, at least in Massachusetts, is more people are being moved to other facilities and obviously going home. One thing you really don’t see reported is WHY there are 2200 in the hospital. Make no mistake, there are some really sick people in the hospital. However, most are in there for 1-3 days getting some oxygen, steroids, and/or Remdesivier and they can go home. However, a lot can’t go home for several reasons. Some live with extended family and they don’t want them back home until they are not contagious,  some live alone and need a little care but not hospital level etc etc. But, LTC facilities (think Spaulding) won’t take them. Sometimes it takes several days or even a week plus to find a place that will take them. Matter of fact, that’s who is in the DCU center or the Lowell field hospitals. I have MD buddies and social workers telling me these things that go on at a lot of area hospitals. So the increase isn’t necessarily because people are stacking up really sick in the hospital for days and days, but because they can’t be transported to a recovery facility.    
I know of one hospital down in southern Mass that calls other facilities daily to get people moved. They’re sending them as far away as the cape to rehab facilities to free up hospital capacity.

 

Ya you’re right. Some epidemiologist said something like hospitalization per some number of cases or something is better to look at.

because what you’re saying is right, the leveling off may be more a function of a significantly stressed medical system. I.e. people who should be hospitalized aren’t because there is no room.

6 minutes ago, WhitinsvilleWX said:

Yes, that’s correct. A second shot is imperative, but it can be pushed off a little and as long as the manufacturing chain holds up, there’s no reason to hold it back. We need about a million or 1.5 mill a day to get this done by late summer.

The 1.5mm a day is key...really need to get things ramped up quickly.

interesting to see hospitalizations maybe, sort of, possibly leveling off... fingers crossed.

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

There has been some discussion that even a singular dose may be enough for the time being.

Its going way to slow. Some of the restrictions on who can get it currently aren’t doing the rollout any favors. I saw the New York guidelines and they are ridiculous.

At some point, you need to start just getting it in people.

Just to be clear they are not shifting to a single dose which is what the UK is doing. The feds are saying  that should the production supply chain continue to hold up, there is no need to reserve the second dose for those already receiving their first. There will be reserves of course in case of a contaminated batch...just want to clear that up.

3 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

NBA trades.......

this may answer the age old question...if you put 3 of the most unlikable/egomaniacal superstars on one team, will you get a championship?

good job dude.

13 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Very talented doofus.  Glad he is ruining another team besides the one I follow. 
 

Also, I found this amusing:

https://www.sfgate.com/business/article/Lost-Passwords-Lock-Millionaires-Out-of-Their-15864082.php?fbclid=IwAR10WkKgFKiEiIMksVHkqPFSfoE7f-DmUSSMjtKtGNMRDUYTa09Z7hlUDrI

Ya and I was all about giving him the benefit of the doubt about how things ended in Cleveland. Couldn’t have been more wrong.

i saw that headline but didn’t click. I mean what did these people do in their prior lives to deserve that torment? Seriously??

Thoughts on Kyrie? Thank god he’s not still here...rarely can you truly say someone is a team cancer but...yikes

14 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

It's just weird all around, but starts to dabble in politics if the discussion goes any further.  It just grabbed my eye as it's Ryan Maue and we all know his work.

Ya I may have led you there so apologies. Certainly an interesting article- I hadn’t seen it, thanks for posting it.

3 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Interesting view point.  Certainly could've done it as a going away gift.  But why use the official seal in the first place?  Why not just publish it on your own without it?  I dunno, seems like a mark against your reputation for going behind the back of those above you.  That's not what employers and organizations look for in a candidate.

Remember only the best and brightest.

you are right tho...what’s their endgame? Can they put this on their CV’s or something? Maybe just more disinformation... once this type of crap is out there it’s tough to put it back in the bottle as we’ve seen.

conspiracy theory: they were instructed it’d be ok or to do it without approval. I have zero evidence whatsoever. Lol

2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Ryan Maue didn't last long under the current Presidential administration.  He might make great model graphics but man, seems like a fail to not get this ok'd.

Assigned to the White House in November and removed from his posting today for publishing climate change documents with the official seal of the Executive Office of the President of the United States.... without permission.  

https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2021/01/11/controversial-climate-skeptics-release-papers/

 

Is it a fail tho? Clearly they had to know this work would never be published under the official seal in the new administration (or this one obviously) and hopefully any administration in the future ...so they did it anyway on a non-govt site. Mission accomplished.