Fozz

I went to Dallas, and watched the eclipse with my younger cousin and told her all about them. It was an amazing experience, and my second time seeing an eclipse after 2017. 

Of course the pics don’t do justice, and a few minutes is never enough. But it was 100% worth it and I can’t get enough of it.

3 minutes ago, Jebman said:

Well maybe there is some hope. Just in case it is cloudy,  I want to make damn sure I can drink myself into a total stupor.

I told you not to give up! Texas is looking a lot better than it did before. You can’t jump ship a week out.

1 hour ago, Jebman said:

It's official.  80 percent chance of heavy rain on April 8th.

Everyone going to Texas it's high time to bail. It's gonna be a three day cloudy blow.

Maybe everyone is gonnabe cloudy.

I think there is still time to change airline resses without too much of a penalty. 

Or take out a home equity loan and charter a 747 and watch the eclipse.  Too bad I will miss it for sure. Fook this life, everything is going to shyte. No doubt about that, now.

I wouldn’t give up just yet. It’s still a week away. I have a refundable ticket so I’ll see how it goes.

Years ago I remember speaking to @usedtobe about PDI... he has all kinds of memories of it, and if I'm remembering correctly it was some of the heaviest snowfall rates he's ever seen in his life.

16 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 12Z EPS extended control March 23 lock in the crocus and daffodiI crusher....

If we can get 70 degree weather in January (incl 80 in DC) then I’m not going to shed a tear if people get mad about spring snow.

Yeah, I know I’m being spiteful. But unseasonable weather can go both ways 

44 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

I have no memory of either of those two events.

March 2014 was much bigger south of us, but March 2018 was a big one here.. 8.5” and it was after the equinox

6 minutes ago, chris21 said:

Mid March is still game on for the mountains. Lowlands is another story, but PSU land can still score as well.

Even the closer N/W suburbs (think IAD, MoCo/HoCo, etc) can still score in mid-March. Sometimes even late March but that’s pushing it.

I’m not giving up. In 2018 the greatest moment came right after the solstice and I’m still yet to see a storm that big ever since IMBY.

22 minutes ago, raindancewx said:

You guys are running +5F for Dec 1-Feb 16 in Baltimore. But your snow isn't near as bad as some of the winters with comparable warmth. I'd say you've actually been a bit lucky given the warmth. Those are your ten warmest Dec 1-Feb 16 periods, with snow following the dash.

1931-32 -1.6
1949-50 -0.5
1948-49 -14.7
2022-23 -0.2
1936-37 -11.1
2023-24 -9.1
2019-20 -1.8
1932-33 -25.4
2011-12 -1.8
2001-02 -2.3

Yes we’ve done ok considering how ridiculously warm it’s been. A large part of the reason was that cold spell in January.

But the problem is that this kind of warmth has become so normalized.

The snow depth map from 18z 3k NAM yesterday gave me 2” exactly.

My actual total was 80% higher. It’s a bad tool most of the time.

2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

The major change I am seeing lately is that the 4-6 inch storms we do get are gone within 48 hours. We just cannot sustain temps below freezing anymore. 

Thats why the mid-January cold spell with those two snow events felt so special and even extraordinary. It brought back memories of the past, as if the atmosphere decided to give us a rare taste of the bygone 20th century winter cold we used to enjoy years ago.

5 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

 

I find it incredible that many places just a few miles from that band didn’t just get 4-5”, a lot of them got less than 2” while they were just miles away from 6-12”.

That has to be infuriating.

6 minutes ago, 87storms said:

It’s always interesting to see “winter’s over” comments the same day that it snows.

I’d love to see something to look forward to before the second half of March, but I think people are really sick of the rug pulls.

2 hours ago, psuhoffman said:

It is what it is. No sense getting all upset. 

On top of living where I do ( anyone willing to make the commute can do what I do) as a skier I see a lot of snow each year regardless of what happens here. It helps some. 

It sure does. And after Jan 2016, which was like the ultimate W for this hobby (along with Feb 2010), I am not quite as emotionally attached to IMBY snow as I was before. It's still nice to see, but there are also so many mountains where I want to experience big storms and powder days.

These -PNA patterns we've been getting are all great opportunities to ski out west while this area gets skunked, and I encourage those who are able to take advantage of it.

That storm next Friday on the Euro looks like another yawner... perfect track, 40 degree rain 

14 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

Friday definitely has potential. If we get rain in a 986 off ORF the week of PD, that says a lot… maybe we will this one in 

If this psuhoffman storm ends up anything like the 2011 psuhoffman storm then I’ll be happy to call it a winter.

As I recall that one also initially looked rainy but then had great dynamics. 

6 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

3” here, beautiful morning. What could have been, but in reality the FGEN band even over our area would have had big winners but big losers in the subsidence zone. 

Yeah many of the runs a few days ago had my area in between the bands, and with maybe 1-2” while places north and south would’ve gotten quite a bit more.

We’d better not be finished for the season. Still keeping an eye on Friday

2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

wow looks like those heaviest rates stayed just south of Long Island.  Can you extend it that map a bit further to the east, Fozz? I'm on the upper right side

Yeah seems like the best of the fgen band stayed south of LI

This map says it all. Whoever was in that zone got crushed. Turquoise is 0.5”+, and the greens are 0.7”+

Seems like the axis from Flemington to New Brunswick through South Amboy and Keansburg hit the jackpot.

Snow is over. Ended up with a final total of 3.6”. Looks so nice outside.
 

Definitely a decent event here and hopefully not the last.

1 hour ago, psuhoffman said:

The crazy fgen banding that guidance had over us yesterday morning ended up in PA. It at up near Harrisburg. I see reporters of 6-8” around there and there were 3”/hr rates.  So the storm had the potential is just shifted it north of us at the last minute  

 

I just saw… from Harrisburg to Allentown to Newark there are spots with 8-12”, and it’s almost painful to know it could’ve been us.

Though even there it seems like there were winners and losers since many of those outside the bands in the subsidence ended up with very little.

To be blunt, this event was not worthy of a warning anywhere in our area. I can’t complain too much all things considered, but I imagine psuhoffman’s ~4” is close to the max in the region.

This system was just too quick and too marginal to really be a big one. In and out within 4 hours.

Up to 3.2” now, still snowing.

Radar is looking good now. Should be getting here any moment 

3 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

I'm surprised how tempered the posts are considering how good the 3k looked.  I'm kind of stoked for this.

I’d be even more stoked if it wasn’t super late at night. Might stay up till 3am or so.