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Posts posted by T. August
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I was thinking today how verified severe in any given backyard is nearly as rare as a HECS. I’ve only directly measured severe winds once (61 MPH. 2015?). Then in 2022 what I presume to be a microburst/tornado occurred, where nearly 10 trees came down in a 1-acre area.
Are there any stats for the airports for severe? Do they track days with verified severe storms?
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2 hours ago, HighStakes said:
216-17: 4.0
Total: 21.3
What’s your average? 30”?
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20 minutes ago, Steve25 said:
Man, where do yall find the official spotter accumulation report from the NWS?
https://www.weather.gov/lwx/pnsmap?type=snow
Mine is the depressing 1.5 in SE Harford County
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5 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said:
The bay hurts you. Not much better here…. But I swear I hit the hatem bridge and the thermometer on my car often jumps 2 degrees on winter mornings. Common occurrence.
It’s amazing being on the water in the spring and summer but not sure it makes up for it lol.
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On 1/19/2024 at 9:27 PM, T. August said:
1/15-1/16: 4.5
1/19: 3.8
Total: 8.3
2/17: 1.5
Total: 9.8
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16 minutes ago, T. August said:
Snowing pretty well actually, with nothing on radar. Hoping for 1.5” after complaining lol.
Just finished snowing. 1.5” exactly on the snow board.
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Snowing pretty well actually, with nothing on radar. Hoping for 1.5” after complaining lol.
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3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:
The crazy fgen banding that guidance had over us yesterday morning ended up in PA. It at up near Harrisburg. I see reporters of 6-8” around there and there were 3”/hr rates. So the storm had the potential is just shifted it north of us at the last minute
Some crazy reports to the northeast too… yeesh.
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23 minutes ago, T. August said:
Not even an inch in Havre de Grace. I had 2” as a benchmark after all of the negative guidance came in and figured that would be realistic. Nope.
Snowing lightly still.
Didn’t do a final measurement yet but looks like it’s over an inch. I shouldn’t have complained so soon.
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Not even an inch in Havre de Grace. I had 2” as a benchmark after all of the negative guidance came in and figured that would be realistic. Nope.
Snowing lightly still.
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Yikes on the nams. Going to bed.
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38/22 in Havre de Grace
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42/20 in Havre de Grace. Current temps look pretty close to most guidance.
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Just now, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:
Silly question - when you guys know a new model run has dropped do you check the model first or the thread first?
44/18
Model always lol
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3k is warm… 33° during the heaviest for the cities.
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1 minute ago, Wxtrix said:
it’s going to change as the drier runs get digested.
I imagine the majority of 12z was factored in, with the exception of the euro. Still a little more bullish than I expected.
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1 minute ago, Interstate said:
So they are basically going with "worst case"
Is any guidance really showing those totals in such a wide area though?
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May be a bit ambitious for my area towards Baltimore, but I’m hoping for a warning-level event. Would be the first here since 2019.
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My strategy is to set an alarm for 2:00AM. That way I don’t have to stress about first flakes, and it will be ripping.
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1 minute ago, osfan24 said:
3k looks really good. Both NAMs look good with precip. What's the deal with Kuchera? 12:1-15:1 rates are what I thought we were expecting? I would expect the clown maps to be throwing out 6-8+, not actually giving us less than 10:1 rates.
Yeah I noticed that too. My biggest takeaway is that the NAMs don’t show the claw… which is great lol.
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Didn’t see it posted… LWX slashed totals
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March Discobs 2024
in Mid Atlantic
Posted
Actually almost moderate briefly in Havre de Grace