NCSNOW

It's the hrrr v/s every other shortrange model . Cage match, will we have a new champion and unseat the undisputed short range model champion of the world "per pack"? Stay Tuned

This would be lights out for some folks. You get north of 5 or 6 with this heavy wet stuff , you can kiss power good bye.

Saw a post on the other board, guess it was 6pm news or online forecast from a san antonio news station. "Might get lucky see a few flakes mix in the a.m.,but no accums". Lol everything is pasted white out there now in SA, roads included, slush.

Check out the wrf. Plasters RDU 6 plus

Well , your guess is as good as mine then. Have to pay attn through the night and see how this trends.

Agree 100%. You take all model clown outputs and roll back to 6 to 1 instead of 10 to 1 and you'll still end up with 2 to 3 SE to NW like you stated.

That's hour 16. I'd wait and see hrb17,18,19 . You'll see once precip starts cooling bottom of the column and more blue showing up. You have to cool from top down in most locations , need rates.

Anyone know where to get latest GSO balloon info from

You know it's coming. That call map you made earlier is based off years seeing it happen time and time again. Only will be 40 to 50 miles. But it never fails to put an egg in the jackpot crowd face from 48 hrs out.

I'll lean on ukie,rgem,euro , can. Expect 3 inches to fall vicinity of I 85 from the sky. Whether any or how much accumulates is the wildcard. Eitheir way it's a win this early, espeacilly with how the second half of next week is looking. That might turn out to be the biggest window of opportunity this young season.

Have yet to see a model run in 2 days now that doesn't paint 2 to 3 inches plus in my county( exception 0z nam). Still think there will be a lollipop location somewhere in triad which covers eastern alamance all the way back to pilot mtn where a 2 to 3 inches verifies. It'll be localized but someone will get a good enough rate to cover up the blades of grass. Asphalt on the other hand is a different matter.

Light sleet. First frozen of the year

Thinking alot about the December 2009 storm that fell about a week before Christmas. Very similar setup. saw slop and no accum, drove 10 miles NW and 4 inches on ground . Thats not exageration eitheir. saw clear heavy slush and rain, occasionally white fall.

Nam is colder futher east in NC v/s 6z

Webber has been preaching the same thing on other board. Says its very rare almost unheard of to get a jetstreak like GFS is depicting in our neck of the woods like 140-160. Thinks this favors an overperformer potential to the NW(should get way more precip) as oppossed to the latter.

Neat, thnx guys that explains. Saw some photos today one of our Navy planes took flying over Barbados. Hate too see the ones from this place, espeacilly timber going up those east facing peeks.

We loose satelite and cable when it clouds up good in my neck of the woods while these jokers still have WiFi during a cat 5.

Got a nice chuckle out of this. Wheres Shetley and his wait till Feb forecast. And your other half brother Wilkes with his mid Feb prediction. I'll let Frosty bash JB

It'll take this w for me to even come close to thinking it's in the same league as euro. Been watching these for years and as bad as want the gfs to be right for once it's gonna have to prove it to me. It's had more than one big run beside 12z today. Matter fact it was last wednesday when it spat out 12 inch totals and Jan 1988 reduux was the topic of conversation. This is how we all got started chasing this threat period.Thursday every model thrashed the SE and abandon the cold push idea except ukmet, then Thursday night 12z after a board wide cliff jump suicide, every model came right back to ukmet cold press pattern and 2 wave, artic front in the gom look. They've all done great with the pattern besides that one cycle and identifying the 2 waves. Now it's crunch time and who's gonna back down on the seperartion factor at 72 hr mark.

We had that already Wednesday. 16 inches mby and that's what got us all yanked in.

Yea might have to start rooting for this scenerio. Probably as good a odds as hoping the ns energy doesn't phase with first wave until it's delivered the cold goods. It would definetly benefit apps and northern GA, northern AL,TN

Cold dry is blessing. Cold wet is a blessing even at 33 and rain. Have at the 5 to 6 months of 90/70 . It's refreshing to me.

If I was on the state line 1200 feet up, I definetly wouldn't eitheir. Hope our boy Jonathon is happy now as he went from cold dry to sitting in the jackpot along with the mid atlantic.

I'm usually as optomistic as anyone. But you have to call a spade a spade. If we whiff at the end of next week and I see no reason why we wont, then it's gonna be tough with the February outlooks I've been reading. Bottom line is by next weekend we will be 5 weeks down and 7 to go. Never been shutout and definetly to early to make that call, but if we can score one event this year it's a win in my book. Was hoping wed score the first half of winter.

I'm with you. Wonder if all the gfs is better at SE winter weather crowd will remeber 2 days ago on the 12z run the almighty gfs dumped 16 inches of powder snow on greensboro and today it's spring showers. But somehow some folks will swear it had the right idea all along...