Morris

Just amazing weather for the summer. 

Colors to be erased clean in next Thursday's drought monitor update. 

Climo here makes it very hard to run a legit drought for too long. 

Last weekend and this weekend brought many of us to above normal YTD precipitation with 2 months worth of rain in 8 days. 

LGA up to 2.75" today. 

Park will cross 2" soon. 

1 minute ago, Hitman said:

Anyone else just get a tornado warning?

Yup. Kids are petrified. 

Even in a year full of RI events, what Gati has done today is extremely impressive. 

LOOK: Tropical Cyclone 03A (#Gati) "explosively" intensified from a minimal Tropical Storm to a (Category 3-equivalent) Severe Cyclonic Storm in just 12 hours. 

According to JTWC, it is now bearing down on Somalia with 1-minute maximum sustained winds of up to 185 km/h. https://t.co/IqtOEWXsSS

Heaviest rain I've seen in my life. Not kidding. Around 2 minutes. 

6 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said:

Wrong thread.

It's all Greek to me. 

964mb on the dropsonde. 

Winds up significantly. 89kts FL and 82kts unflagged SFMR. 

922mb now. 

The next frame might be stronger for all we know. 

Only 927mb extrapolated 

Another Air Force Recon plane just took off. 

We might not be impressed by garbage hurricanes after this. 

Was a sad tropical storm less than a day ago. It might be a major hurricane already, based on satellite. 

90kts unflagged SFMR in the NW eyewall. 

Pressure dropped a few mb in between passes. 

11 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said:

Lol!   Potential for about 5-7 landfalls in FL and the N GOM coast within two days!!

And we get to finish the alphabet in one shot. 

13 minutes ago, Morris said:

973mb extrapolated. 87kts FL, 80kts SFMR. 

974mb on the dropsonde in the eye, and we have the NE eyewall dropsonde with 81kts a hair above the surface with lower average of 88kts.

973mb extrapolated. 87kts FL, 80kts SFMR. 

Multiple unflagged 50-55kt SFMR in the NW. 

Just now, Amped said:

Drop was 993mb extrap 992mb.  What more do you want?

I'm referring to the consistent usually 2mb higher. It's never lower. 

Why isn't the MSLP extrapolation calculation methodology revised to match what dropsondes always find? 

992mb extrap. That's way lower than NHC advisory. Waiting for dropsonde. 

Sick hot tower just went up in the NE eyewall.

SUMMARY OF 300 PM CDT...2000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.7N 90.8W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SW OF GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SSW OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.70 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Berg

967mb extrap