While hurricane formation in the Carib. in late Sep and Oct is not as common in El Nino years as La Nina, several analog years (warm Atl. MDR, lingering -PDO cool tongue off W. Coast of N/C. America, E-weighted Nino) had a TC form in the e. Carib in late Sep... pic.twitter.com/W8iiOOOOoC

— Yaakov Cantor (@yconsor) September 12, 2023