Also interesting to note that the consensus of seasonal models doesn't agree with the long-range EPS regarding the VP pattern for Sep. They suggest a phase 8-type MJO pattern. However, I think a bimodal pattern with -VP cells over the W. Pac and Atl/Africa is more likely pic.twitter.com/XakB2Ye8Sd

— Yaakov Cantor (@yconsor) August 15, 2023