ECMWF shows a decent bubble of moist air aloft. Frictional convergence near SE US coast could help to tighten a sfc circulation. Also, the system will likely get an assist from diffluent flow around a shortwave breaking off the E US trough, along with a ridge off the SE US coast pic.twitter.com/UthDEaC9oN

— Yaakov Cantor (@yconsor) July 24, 2023