Many analog years with very cold water in eastern Pacific (Nino 1.2) and/or strong WAM saw activity in the E/C. Carib. in Oct/Nov - 1954 (Hazel), 1998 (Joan) 1999 (Lenny), 2001 (Iris), 2008 (Omar), 2010 (Tomas), 2016 (Matthew), 2020 (Eta, Iota)

— Yaakov Cantor (@yconsor) September 30, 2022