Interestingly, both 12z GFS and ECMWF are about 6 hours behind vs. reality on that convection N. of Panama. By the time both models form the convection (~3Z Tue), ECMWF has the convection unreasonably far east vs. current trends (~77.5W), GFS closer. pic.twitter.com/4iGWitIDqU

— Yaakov Cantor (@yconsor) June 13, 2022