The Sep and Oct 500 mb composites suggest above normal landfall risk for the US East coast and at least near normal for the eastern/central Gulf Coast. 6 of 7 years had at least one hurr landfall on E Coast Aug-Oct, and 4 of 7 had at least one in the E/C Gulf Coast. pic.twitter.com/o56GebZoLa

— Yaakov Cantor (@yconsor) August 8, 2019