Worth keeping in mind that ~80-90% of big Ninos have a mean trough over the SE US and/or East Coast in Feb, w/ at least a ~75% chance of a -NAO.

North America will likely be cool/stormy later this winter regardless of what the stratosphere does. pic.twitter.com/1rNq6cpWHb

— Eric Webb (@webberweather) December 28, 2023