Today's ECMWF weeklies are **roughly** how I'd expect the rest this winter to play out in general in/around N America (with or without a "major" stratospheric warming event).

Although many folks are fixated on the early January pattern change for cold/snow potential in the… pic.twitter.com/Jky8U8jL7D

— Eric Webb (@webberweather) December 21, 2023