This year is about the furthest thing from a weak, “modoki”/central Pacific El Niño as you could possibly get & that’s not going to change between now and winter.

No amount of “well this MEI index says ___” or “the SST pattern will become more central pacific based late winter… pic.twitter.com/8TuQ3taYO6

— Eric Webb (@webberweather) November 4, 2023