Not to beat a dead horse here, but given the current SSTa & -PMM/+AMM (which will hinder the development of central Pacific +SSTa), an east-based El Niño is very likely to generally persist into this coming fall & winter.

In fact, the current NINO 1-2 SSTa values are some of… pic.twitter.com/JmPdAUoGUQ

— Eric Webb (@webberweather) August 10, 2023