The 3km NAM (for now) seems to be on its own to the NE as the 18z HRRR & 12km NAM are closer to consensus aids and most other CAMs + globals atm. Upper lows are always tricky to forecast tho, but I can recall more storms than not which have favored areas just west of RDU.

— Eric Webb (@webberweather) January 27, 2022