The E Asia cold surges being forecast this week were a big clue that the MJO would try to propagate thru the Maritime Continent instead of being blocked as the Euro Ensemble initially forecast.

The GEFS is likely closer to reality here imo

See: https://t.co/d1TXAQCWns https://t.co/6INiTHLjaZ pic.twitter.com/WgfPSY086g

— Eric Webb (@webberweather) November 25, 2020