Jan 2017 is a classic case of an overperforming warm nose in NC, & it's not surprising NWP missed it given the 60+ KT WSWly jet at 700 hPa & mid-level veering. Ironically, a similarly strong 50-65+ KT SWly jet @ 700 hpa w/ veering is being shown w/ this weekend's storm @ RDU. Lol pic.twitter.com/hYMQBcf9dW

— Eric Webb (@webberweather) December 8, 2018