Interesting question, though worth noting even a more robust #95E in the ECMWF limits its outflow to far W GoM.
— Philippe Papin (@pppapin) August 25, 2021
A stronger system does not always imply larger outflow. Size & synoptic environment also part of equation. Remnant upper-level trough b/w the two may act as a buffer. pic.twitter.com/x0rCKuz7Lx