Agree. The biggest hindrance I see right now is dry air entrainment from the NW. Even the 12z GFS which tries to develop Invest #95L shows a significant region of very dry air (<30% RH) just to the NW.

This could be an issue even if the shear remains relatively low. pic.twitter.com/7twcY5pINT

— Philippe Papin (@pppapin) August 9, 2020