Tropical Storm #Fiona is noticeably south of earlier forecasts from NHC and forecast models -- about 70 miles south of the 21-hour forecast from last night. 24-hour forecast errors typically 30-40 miles. Short term deviations can have long range implications. Plots: @btangyWx pic.twitter.com/Sz7SevkuMy

— Michael Lowry (@MichaelRLowry) September 16, 2022