Latest runs of the HRRR reinforce a warm front to the SW of the NYC Metro. This keeps most of NYC, Long Island and NE NJ stable this afternoon and evening with very little surface based CAPE. The severe threat is likely to be maximized over E PA and far Western NJ. #pawx #njwx pic.twitter.com/RFgaNjv0cg

— John Homenuk (@jhomenuk) May 29, 2019