It's a very similar sequence as late Dec to mid Jan.
Canadian Warming > Siberian Warming > Weakened SPV > -AO/-NAO. Except this time, the MJO will be in the W Hemisphere instead of the E Hemisphere.

El Nino / MJO Phase 8 composite: https://t.co/WJF7efQoNg pic.twitter.com/gIzHB18Cwl

— griteater (@griteater) January 31, 2024