Major disagreement between the BoM and ECMWF extended MJO model forecasts thru January 16th. I think a slow progression out of Phase 7 is likely, but any entry into Phase 8 is going to either be brief or weak and exert little influence. It’s La Niña, remember? pic.twitter.com/UznB2dEJh6

— Chris Martz (@ChrisMartzWX) December 20, 2021