Considering the above, I'd conclude (a) it's uncertain if Earl is even a category 2 hurricane right now, and (b) its peak intensity may be lower than models suggest.
— Tomer Burg (@burgwx) September 8, 2022
The same was noted in NHC's 5pm discussion, which decreased both Earl's initial & forecast peak intensity. pic.twitter.com/0gMXCaDqLj