I haven't followed Elsa's track too closely today, but the latest CAMs (HRRR/NAM3) show a slight eastward shift in its track tonight - but due to its compact stratiform shield, this slight shift might allow hard-hit SE NY, NJ & NYC to avoid getting much rain tonight. pic.twitter.com/mfcor5lMRL

— Tomer Burg (@burgwx) July 9, 2021