Models are just guidance not gospel but it’s not the first time ECMWF’s operational run has strayed from its EPS mean & member lows.

Honestly forget the date of the run but late last week the operational had the inland runner track that had no support from its 12z EPS. https://t.co/waGF4SXI1S

— Andrew Loconto (@AndrewLoconto) January 23, 2022