As stated in the Day 2 outlook, forecast models tend to do poorly with the eastward extent of these HSLC events. It’s why I was aggressive with the eastern extent of probs (probably could have been more so) for Day3/2 despite uncertainty. We are seeing that in action tonight. pic.twitter.com/WpRL06wdir

— Elizabeth Leitman (@WxLiz) April 1, 2023