As expected, El Niño is slowly losing its East Pacific focus, with the core warm anomaly shifting west.

Latest forecasts suggest a winter Modoki index similar to 2015/16 (+0.4). That's a fairly typical value, neither strongly east-based (1997/98) nor Modoki-like (2009/10). pic.twitter.com/05D480bPlS

— World Climate Service (@WorldClimateSvc) October 19, 2023