With an active tropical Atlantic in the ECMWF seasonal, I was curious* about where/when the storms develop in the model.

Animation shows ensemble-max wind gust by week for July-October.

*Caveat: NOT for operational use - this only shows the most extreme outcomes in the ensemble pic.twitter.com/kwd1TZxIjc

— World Climate Service (@WorldClimateSvc) June 16, 2023