ENSO/trop Pacific similarities to spring 2002 tough to ignore. Nino 1+2 anomaly of +1.5C is fastest/warmest relative to past 30 yr analogs. Closest is 2002 at +1.2C by March 20. Subsurface similar to now w/ dominant -PDO. An argument against active May-June severe storm season... pic.twitter.com/B0wMK5K4Mp

— Jim Bishop (@StormgasmJim) March 17, 2023