ENSO favored base state, mid October, December, and February. Altho ENSO SST anomalies are constrained to diminish beginning in January, the convective response is not so constrained, and can be strong even in April when SST cannot be (in comparison with the rest of the year). pic.twitter.com/fsnIiY7Agh

— Paul Roundy (@PaulRoundy1) October 6, 2023