I'd guess 40-60% chance on that intensity, but likely centered east, whereas, 2015-2016 was in between the central Pacific and east Pacific extremes.— Paul Roundy (@PaulRoundy1) May 31, 2023
I'd guess 40-60% chance on that intensity, but likely centered east, whereas, 2015-2016 was in between the central Pacific and east Pacific extremes.