Updated through May, our global temperature forecast gives a 57% chance that 2023 will set a new instrumental record*, with a 74% chance that 2024 will set a new instrumental record.

It also gives a 7% chance that 2024 will be above the 1.5°C temperature target.… pic.twitter.com/53xSrwllcd

— Patrick T. Brown (@PatrickTBrown31) June 26, 2023