I generally try not to be critical of the NHC, but IMO they are being way too dependent on an ASCAT (per the TWO at 2pm) in regards to 95L. VERY obvious west winds in visible imagery. Maybe I'm missing some other aspect, but sustained convection and closed circulation are there pic.twitter.com/7ZN1vyt6Rv

— Andrew Moore (@OSUWXGUY) September 18, 2021