The absolute value of the 3 major enso indexes is 2.9
in 2015 at this time it was close to 5. The el nino, due to the amount of warming around it, is not having the same reaction in much of the N Hemisphere as usual. This is more in line with a weaker event, despite the hi ONI

— The American Storm (@BigJoeBastardi) September 26, 2023