UKMET forecasts that a +IOD and reemerging El Niño Modoki will be the primary tropical climate drivers during winter 2019-20.
— Ben Noll (@BenNollWeather) September 25, 2019
It is more bullish on convective forcing in the central Pacific than ECMWF.
A lot to think about for those compiling winter outlooks... pic.twitter.com/UzgfuvoXap