Here's a look at ECMWF SSTs through early 2019:

-Central-focused #ElNiƱo event.
-Abundant North Pacific warmth, ala 2014.
-Warmer than average across the Atlantic.
-Positive IOD event quickly fading. pic.twitter.com/qOJnt1W8Dl

— Ben Noll (@BenNollWeather) October 15, 2018