No idea if it'll happen or not but 00z HAFS-S explicitly forecasts an ERC for #Fiona after peaking at Cat4 in ~3 days. Maybe it's something to watch for since the small core seems to be holding together? Really cool that models can even attempt to get these features nowadays. pic.twitter.com/2iVGjYbxKD

— Andy Hazelton (@AndyHazelton) September 19, 2022