An examination of track forecasts of TC Elsa: GFS forecasts consistently depicted Elsa making landfall along the FL Gulf Coast for ~7 days, whereas early ECMWF forecasts (Day 5-7) depicted recurvature in the western N Atlantic. Mean track error plots highlight these differences. pic.twitter.com/bUZJYVWqEc

— Dr. Alicia M Bentley (@AliciaMBentley) July 15, 2021