This week's disruptive windstorm #Ciarán, affecting France and the southern UK, lines up well with seasonal analog indicators for this autumn.

If El Niño remains entrenched in the East Pacific (no quick Modoki-like transition), more of the same will be favored in coming months. pic.twitter.com/M7JhuXYmOZ

— World Climate Service (@WorldClimateSvc) October 30, 2023